Research areas |Outbreak Analytics & Forecasting

Outbreak Analytics & Forecasting

We develop mechanistic and ensemble forecasts, scenario modeling, and decision tools that support public-health preparedness and response across local and national partners.

Faculty

Featured publications

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Recent publications

Estimating the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in the United States using influenza surveillance, virologic testing, and mortality data: Four complementary approaches

PLoS Computational Biology

Using heterogeneous data to identify signatures of dengue outbreaks at fine spatio-temporal scales across Brazil

PLOS Negl Trop Dis

The impact of relaxing interventions on human contact patterns and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in China

Science Advances

Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios — United States, April–September 2021

MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.

Estimating the effect of social inequalities on the mitigation of COVID-19 across communities in Santiago de Chile

Nature Communications

The effect of eviction moratoria on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2

Nature Communications