Research areas |Outbreak Analytics & Forecasting

Outbreak Analytics & Forecasting

We develop mechanistic and ensemble forecasts, scenario modeling, and decision tools that support public-health preparedness and response across local and national partners.

Faculty

Featured publications

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Recent publications

February 6, 2024

Characterizing collective physical distancing in the U.S. during the first nine months of the COVID-19 pandemic

PLOS Digital Health

January 1, 2024

Estimating the potential risk of transmission of arboviruses in the Americas and Europe: a modelling study

The Lancet Planetary Health

November 20, 2023

Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty

Nature Communications

November 16, 2023

The unequal effects of the health–economy trade-off during the COVID-19 pandemic

Nature Human Behaviour

Deep Bayesian Active Learning for Accelerating Stochastic Simulation

ACM Digital Library

Multimodeling approach to evaluating the efficacy of layering pharmaceutical and nonpharmaceutical interventions for influenza pandemics