Publications

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February 14, 2023
February 14, 2023
Forecasting hospital-level COVID-19 admissions using real-time mobility data
2023
Nature Communications Medicine
3, 25 (2023)
Brennan Klein, Ana C. Zenteno, Daisha Joseph, Mohammadmehdi Zahedi, Michael Hu, Martin Copenhaver, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, Matteo Chinazzi, Michael Klompas, Alessandro Vespignani, Samuel V. Scarpino, Hojjat Salmasian
November 21, 2022
November 21, 2022
Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: a multi-model study
2022
The LANCET Regional Health
17, 100398 (2023)
Rebecca K. Borchering, et al.
August 14, 2022
August 14, 2022
Multi-fidelity Hierarchical Neural Processes
2022
ACM Digital Library
2029 - 2038 (2022)
Dongxia Wu, Matteo Chinazzi, Alessandro Vespignani, Yi-An Ma, Rose Yu
June 23, 2022
June 23, 2022
Higher education responses to COVID-19 in the United States: Evidence for the impacts of university policy
2022
PLOS Digital Health
1(6), e0000065 (2022)
Brennan Klein, Nicholas Generous, Matteo Chinazzi, Zarana Bhadricha, Rishab Gunashekar, Preeti Kori, Bodian Li, Stefan McCabe, Jon Green, David Lazer, Christopher R. Marsicano, Samuel V. Scarpino, and Alessandro Vespignani
June 21, 2022
June 21, 2022
Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination
2022
eLife
11:e73584 (2022)
Shaun Truelove, et al.
June 13, 2022
June 13, 2022
Quantifying the importance and location of SARS-CoV-2 transmission events in large metropolitan areas
2022
PNAS
119(26), e2112182119 (2022)
Alberto Aleta, David Martın-Corral, , Michiel A. Bakker, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Maria Litvinova, Matteo Chinazzi, Natalie E. Dean, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ira M. Longini Jr., Alex Pentland, Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno, Esteban Moro
May 25, 2022
May 25, 2022
Anatomy of the first six months of COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Italy
2022
PLOS Computational Biology
8(5), e1010146 (2022)
Nicolò Gozzi, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu,Ana Pastore y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani
April 14, 2022
April 14, 2022
Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling
2022
American Journal of Public Health
112, 839-842 (2022)
Nicholas G. Reich, Justin Lessler, Sebastian Funk, Cecile Viboud, Alessandro Vespignani, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Katriona Shea, Melanie Schienle, Michael C. Runge, Roni Rosenfeld, Evan L. Ray, Rene Niehus, Helen C. Johnson, Michael A. Johansson, Harry Hochheiser, Lauren Gardner, Johannes Bracher,Rebecca K. Borchering, Matthew Biggerstaff
April 8, 2022
April 8, 2022
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
2022
PNAS
119(15), 2113561119 (2022)
E.Y. Cramer,E.L. Ray,V.K. Lopez,J. Bracher,A. Brennen,A.J. Castro Rivadeneira,A. Gerding,T. Gneiting,K.H. House,Y. Huang,D. Jayawardena,A.H. Kanji,A. Khandelwal,K. Le,A. Mühlemann,J. Niemi,A. Shah,A. Stark,Y. Wang, [...] & N.G. Reich
January 14, 2022
January 14, 2022
Model-based evaluation of alternative reactive class closure strategies against COVID-19
2022
Nature Communications
13, 322 (2022)
Quan-Hui Liu, Juanjuan Zhang, Cheng Peng, Maria Litvinova, Shudong Huang, Piero Poletti, Filippo Trentini, Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano, Tao Zhou, Cecile Viboud, Ana I. Bento, Jiancheng Lv, Alessandro Vespignani, Stefano Merler, Hongjie Yu, Marco Ajelli
January 14, 2022
January 14, 2022
Cost-effective proactive testing strategies during COVID-19 mass vaccination: A modelling study
2022
The Lancet Regional Health - Americas
1677 (2022)
Zhanwei Du, Lin Wang, Yuan Bai, Xutong Wang, Abhishek Pandey, Meagan C. Fitzpatrick, Matteo Chinazzi, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Nathaniel Hupert, Michael Lachmann, Alessandro Vespignani, Alison P. Galvani, Benjamin J. Cowling, and Lauren Ancel Meyers
October 25, 2021
October 25, 2021
Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave
2021
Nature
600, 127–132 (2021)
Jessica T. Davis, Matteo Chinazzi, Nicola Perra, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Natalie E. Dean, Corrado Gioannini, Maria Litvinova, Stefano Merler, Luca Rossi, Kaiyuan Sun, Xinyue Xiong, Ira M. Longini Jr, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Cécile Viboud, Alessandro Vespignani
July 22, 2021
July 22, 2021
Spatiotemporal invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 emergence
2021
Science
373, 889–895 (2021)
Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Verity Hill, Christopher Ruis, Simon Dellicour, Sumali Bajaj, John T. McCrone, Guy Baele, Kris V. Parag, Anya Lindström Battle, Bernardo Gutierrez, Ben Jackson, Rachel Colquhoun, Áine O’Toole, Brennan Klein, Alessandro Vespignani, COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium, Erik Volz, Nuno R. Faria1, David M. Aanensen, Nicholas J. Loman, Louis du Plessis, Simon Cauchemez, Andrew Rambaut, Samuel V. Scarpino, Oliver G. Pybus
June 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
Integrating explanation and prediction in computational social science
2021
Nature
595, 181–188 (2021)
Jake M. Hofman, Duncan J. Watts, Susan Athey, Filiz Garip, Thomas L. Griffiths, Jon Kleinberg, Helen Margetts, Sendhil Mullainathan, Matthew J. Salganik, Simine Vazire, Alessandro Vespignani, Tal Yarkoni
June 23, 2021
June 23, 2021
Association between COVID-19 outcomes and mask mandates, adherence, and attitudes
2021
PLOS ONE
16(6): e0252315 (2021)
Dhaval Adjodah, Karthik Dinakar, Matteo Chinazzi, Samuel P. Fraiberger, Alex Pentland, Samantha Bates, Kyle Staller, Alessandro Vespignani, Deepak L. Bhatt
June 17, 2021
June 17, 2021
Estimating the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in the United States using influenza surveillance, virologic testing, and mortality data: Four complementary approaches
2021
PLoS Computational Biology
17(6): e1008994 (2021)
Fred S. Lu, Andre T. Nguyen, Nicholas B. Link, Mathieu Molina, Jessica T. Davis, Matteo Chinazzi, Xinyue Xiong, Alessandro Vespignani, Marc Lipsitch, Mauricio Santillana
May 21, 2021
May 21, 2021
Using heterogeneous data to identify signatures of dengue outbreaks at fine spatio-temporal scales across Brazil
2021
PLOS Negl Trop Dis
15(5), e0009392 (2021)
Lauren A. Castro, Nicholas Generous, Wei Luo, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Kaitlyn Martinez, Marcelo F. C. Gomes, Dave Osthus, Geoffrey Fairchild, Amanda Ziemann, Alessandro Vespignani, Mauricio Santillana, Carrie A. Manore, Sara Y. Del Valle
May 7, 2021
May 7, 2021
The impact of relaxing interventions on human contact patterns and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in China
2021
Science Advances
7(1), 9 (2021)
Juanjuan Zhang, Maria Litvinova, Yuxia Liang, Wen Zheng, Huilin Shi, Alessandro Vespignani, Cecile Viboud, Marco Ajelli, Hongjie Yu
May 5, 2021
May 5, 2021
Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios — United States, April–September 2021
2021
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep.
(2021)
Rebecca K. Borchering, Cécile Viboud, Emily Howerton, et al.
April 23, 2021
April 23, 2021
Estimating the effect of social inequalities on the mitigation of COVID-19 across communities in Santiago de Chile
2021
Nature Communications
12, 2429 (2021)
Nicolò Gozzi, Michele Tizzoni, Matteo Chinazzi, Leo Ferres, Alessandro Vespignani, Nicola Perra
April 15, 2021
April 15, 2021
The effect of eviction moratoria on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2
2021
Nature Communications
12, 2274 (2021)
Anjalika Nande, Justin Sheen, Emma L. Walters, Brennan Klein, Matteo Chinazzi, Andrei H. Gheorghe, Ben Adlam, Julianna Shinnick, Maria Florencia Tejeda, Samuel V. Scarpino, Alessandro Vespignani, Andrew J. Greenlee, Daniel Schneider, Michael Z. Levy & Alison L. Hill
March 9, 2021
March 9, 2021
Infectivity, susceptibility, and risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 transmission under intensive contact tracing in Hunan, China
2021
Nature Communications
12, 1533 (2021)
Shixiong Hu, Wei Wang, Yan Wang, Maria Litvinova, Kaiwei Luo, Lingshuang Ren, Qianlai Sun, Xinghui Chen, Ge Zeng, Jing Li, Lu Liang, Zhihong Deng, Wen Zheng, Mei Li, Hao Yang, Jinxin Guo, Kai Wang, Xinhua Chen, Ziyan Liu, Han Yan, Huilin Shi, Zhiyuan Chen, Yonghong Zhou, Kaiyuan Sun, Alessandro Vespignani, Cécile Viboud, Lidong Gao, Marco Ajelli & Hongjie Yu
March 5, 2021
March 5, 2021
An early warning approach to monitor COVID-19 activity with multiple digital traces in near real time
2021
Science Advances
7(10), 6989 (2021)
Nicole E. Kogan, Leonardo Clemente, Parker Liautaud, Justin Kaashoek, Nicholas B. Link, Andre T. Nguyen, Fred S. Lu, Peter Huybers, Bernd Resch, Clemens Havas, Andreas Petutschnig, Jessica Davis, Matteo Chinazzi, Backtosch Mustafa, William P. Hanage, Alessandro Vespignani, Mauricio Santillana
February 4, 2021
February 4, 2021
Comparative cost-effectiveness of SARS-CoV-2 testing strategies in the USA: a modelling study
2021
The Lancet Public Health
6: e184–91 (2021)
Zhanwei Du, Abhishek Pandey, Yuan Bai, Meagan C Fitzpatrick, Matteo Chinazzi, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Michael Lachmann, Alessandro Vespignani, Benjamin J Cowling, Alison P Galvani, Lauren Ancel Meyers
January 12, 2021
January 12, 2021
Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling
2021
Nature Communications
12, 323 (2021)
Dina Mistry, Maria Litvinova, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Matteo Chinazzi, Laura Fumanelli, Marcelo F. C. Gomes, Syed A. Haque, Quan-Hui Liu, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ira M. Longini Jr., Stefano Merler, Marco Ajelli & Alessandro Vespignani
January 8, 2021
January 8, 2021
Survey data and human computation for improved flu tracking
2021
Nature Communications
12, 194 (2021)
Stefan Wojcik, Avleen S. Bijral, Richard Johnston, Juan M. Lavista Ferres, Gary King, Ryan Kennedy, Alessandro Vespignani & David Lazer
December 28, 2020
December 28, 2020
The COVID-19 outbreak in Sichuan, China: Epidemiology and impact of interventions
2020
PLOS Computational Biology
PLOS Computational Biology 10, 1008467 (2020)
Quan-Hui Liu, Ana I. Bento, Kexin Yang, Hang Zhang, Xiaohan Yang, Stefano Merler, Alessandro Vespignani, Jiancheng Lv, Hongjie Yu, Wei Zhang, Tao Zhou, Marco Ajelli
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